Post-match football analysis

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ReviewedUEFA EURO 2024 · Final

Spain 2–1 England: Why the final belonged to the side that kept its width

The historical record favoured England. The final did not. Personnel changes, width and substitution timing explain how Spain turned a tight game into a deserved late win.

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Spain2

England1

Olympiastadion Berlin · 2024-07-14

Our analytical frame

History is not a forecast

Meetings and win rates create context; they do not replace a view of the current team.

Change needs a mechanism

Coaches, line-ups, absences and substitutions explain why the balance may move.

The result returns to evidence

Key events explain the score, with facts and interpretation kept visibly separate.

The whistle ends it.The explanation starts.